Developing a Knowledge Based Expert System (KBES) for Seismic Risk Management

Seismic risk management is a multidisciplinary process in which a broad range of variables, as well as a great deal of uncertainty, is involved with both parameters and the modeling process.A disaster system can be seen as a combination of not only physical and structural consequence of a natural hazard, but also socio-economical and environmental impacts also influence the assessment process. Decision-making in such a complex system that often relies on subjective and objective knowledge should be handled though a knowledge-based approach. The study was launched to review and discuss the multifaceted character of seismic risk and examining the feasibility ofa knowledge base system to model such problems effectively and efficiently. Such a knowledge base system should be capable of: (1) integrating various perspectives of seismic risk; (2) conducting seismic risk assessment; and (3) handling uncertainty within risk assessment and to support mitigation strategies.