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A further investigation of unemployment persistence in European transition economies

Cuestas, J.C., Gil-Alana, L.A. and Staehr, K. (2011) A further investigation of unemployment persistence in European transition economies. Journal of Comparative Economics, 39 (4). pp. 514-532. ISSN 0147-5967


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This paper analyses the dynamics of the unemployment rate in the eight countries from Central and Eastern Europe which joined the EU in 2004. Unit root tests allowing for nonlinearities and structural changes suggest that the unemployment rate is not stationary in most of the sample countries. Tests allowing for fractional integration, however, reveal that shocks are highly persistent, implying a slow rate of convergence to the natural rate of unemployment. The unemployment rate is least persistent in Hungary and Slovenia, more persistent in the Czech Republic, Slovakia and the Baltic States and extremely persistent in Poland. The degree of persistence appears to reflect the different levels of economic and institutional development in the countries and possibly also the role of the government. Journal of Comparative Economics 39 (4) (2011) 514-532. The University of Sheffield, Department of Economics, 9, Mappin Street, Sheffield S1 4DT, United Kingdom; University of Navarra, Faculty of Economics and Business Administration, Edificio Biblioteca, Entrada Este, E-31080 Pamplona, Spain; Tallinn University of Technology, Tallinn School of Economics and Business Administration, Akadeemia tee 3-486, 12618 Tallinn, Estonia; Eesti Pank, Estonia pst 13, 15095 Tallinn, Estonia. (C) 2011 Association for Comparative Economic Studies Published by Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.

Item Type: Article
Copyright, Publisher and Additional Information: © 2011 Elsevier. This is an author produced version of a paper subsequently published in Journal of Comparative Economics. Uploaded in accordance with the publisher's self-archiving policy.
Keywords: Unemployment; NAIRU; Hysteresis; Unit roots; Fractional integration
Institution: The University of Sheffield
Academic Units: The University of Sheffield > Faculty of Social Sciences (Sheffield) > Department of Economics (Sheffield)
Depositing User: Miss Anthea Tucker
Date Deposited: 20 Feb 2012 13:25
Last Modified: 08 Feb 2013 17:37
Published Version: http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.jce.2011.09.002
Status: Published
Publisher: Elsevier
Refereed: Yes
Identification Number: 10.1016/j.jce.2011.09.002
URI: http://eprints.whiterose.ac.uk/id/eprint/43721

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