Andrews, T and Forster, PM (2010) The transient response of global-mean precipitation to increasing carbon dioxide levels. Environmental Research Letters, 5 (2). ISSN 1748-9326Full text available as:
Available under licence : See the attached licence file.
The transient response of global-mean precipitation to an increase in atmospheric carbon dioxide levels of 1% yr(-1) is investigated in 13 fully coupled atmosphere-ocean general circulation models (AOGCMs) and compared to a period of stabilization. During the period of stabilization, when carbon dioxide levels are held constant at twice their unperturbed level and the climate left to warm, precipitation increases at a rate of similar to 2.4% per unit of global-mean surface-air-temperature change in the AOGCMs. However, when carbon dioxide levels are increasing, precipitation increases at a smaller rate of similar to 1.5% per unit of global-mean surface-air-temperature change. This difference can be understood by decomposing the precipitation response into an increase from the response to the global surface-temperature increase (and the climate feedbacks it induces), and a fast atmospheric response to the carbon dioxide radiative forcing that acts to decrease precipitation. According to the multi-model mean, stabilizing atmospheric levels of carbon dioxide would lead to a greater rate of precipitation change per unit of global surface-temperature change.
|Copyright, Publisher and Additional Information:||© 2010 IOP Publishing Ltd. Reproduced in accordance with the publisher's self-archiving policy.|
|Keywords:||precipitation, carbon dioxide, surface-temperature change, climate models, climate sensitivity, hydrological cycle, adjustment, CO2, AOGCM, will, rain|
|Institution:||The University of Leeds|
|Academic Units:||The University of Leeds > Faculty of Environment (Leeds) > School of Earth and Environment (Leeds)|
|Depositing User:||Symplectic Publications|
|Date Deposited:||07 Sep 2011 11:11|
|Last Modified:||07 Jun 2014 19:50|
|Publisher:||IOP Publishing Ltd|
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