Maximal exercise testing using the incremental shuttle walking test can be used to risk stratify patients with pulmonary arterial hypertension

Rationale: Exercise capacity predicts mortality in pulmonary arterial hypertension but limited data exist on the routine use of maximal exercise testing. Objectives: This study evaluates a simple to perform maximal test, the incremental shuttle walking test, and its utility in risk stratification in pulmonary arterial hypertension (PAH). Methods: Consecutive patients with pulmonary hypertension were identified from the ASPIRE registry (2001-2018). Thresholds for levels of risk were identified at baseline, tested at follow-up and incorporation into current risk stratification approaches assessed. Results: Of 4524 treatment-naïve patients with pulmonary hypertension who underwent maximal exercise testing 1,847 patients had PAH. A step-wise reduction in one-year-mortality was seen between levels 1 (≤30m; 32% mortality) and 7 (340-420m; 1% mortality) with no mortality for levels 8-12 (≥430m) in idiopathic and connective tissue disease related PAH. Thresholds derived at baseline of ≤180m (>10%; high-risk), 190-330m (5-10%; intermediate-risk) and ≥340m (<5%; low-risk of one-year mortality) were applied at follow-up and also accurately identified levels of risk. Thresholds were incorporated into the REVEAL 2.0 risk score calculator and French low-risk approach to risk stratification and distinct categories of risk remained. Conclusion: We have demonstrated that maximal exercise testing in PAH stratifies mortality-risk at baseline and follow-up. This study highlights the potential value of the incremental shuttle walking test as an alternative to the 6-minute-walk-test, combining some of the advantages of maximal exercise testing whilst maintaining the simplicity of a simple to perform field test.